Jaxson Dart has become one of the most polarizing prospects in the lead-up to the 2025 NFL Draft. Following an impressive showing at the Reese’s Senior Bowl, Dart’s draft stock is on the rise. However, opinions remain divided on whether he is a legitimate first-round talent.
Dart’s performance during Senior Bowl practices and the game itself drew praise from analysts and scouts. His ability to make accurate downfield throws and execute in red-zone scenarios stood out. ESPN analyst Dan Orlovsky boldly predicted that Dart will be selected in the first round, stating on social media, “Jaxson Dart is going in Round 1.” NFL insider Ian Rapoport also noted that Dart has positioned himself as a potential third quarterback off the board. His college production further supports this claim, with Dart throwing for 4,279 yards, 29 touchdowns, and just six interceptions in 2024 while leading Ole Miss to playoff contention.
Despite the hype, not all NFL evaluators are convinced. Reports suggest that many scouts view Dart as a Day 2 or even Day 3 prospect. Concerns stem from his reliance on Ole Miss’s quarterback-friendly offensive system, which provides simplified reads not typically seen in pro-style schemes. One NFC scout described his processing speed as “slower than expected for a senior quarterback,” while another AFC scout stated that their team did not grade him within the first two rounds.
Additionally, some executives believe Dart will face a steep learning curve transitioning to the NFL. While his physical tools—such as arm strength and mobility—are undeniable, questions about his ability to adapt to complex defenses persist.
Jaxson Dart’s draft projection remains fluid. Some analysts argue that his work ethic and raw talent could vault him into Day 2 consideration or even late first-round discussions if he continues to impress during pre-draft workouts. Others believe he would benefit from being selected later in the draft by a team willing to develop him without immediate pressure to start.
