The last eight days have seen major shifts in the 2024 presidential election odds. Donald Trump’s lead over Kamala Harris has decreased:
- Donald Trump: -188
- Kamala Harris: +175
On July 13, an attempt on Donald Trump’s life during a campaign stop in Pennsylvania made him a stronger favorite to win the 2024 US election. Adding to the chaos, Joe Biden officially announced he would not seek re-election in November. Despite all this, Trump remains the favorite at -188 for a second term, with Kamala Harris at +175 as the leading Democratic candidate.
With the election still 3.5 months away, there’s plenty of time for more changes. Here’s a look at the current odds:
2024 US Presidential Election Odds
Below are the odds for the top candidates to become the next president of the United States in 2024.
Favorites to Win the 2024 US Presidential Election
Shortly after the inauguration, Kamala Harris was leading the odds at +350, followed by Biden at +400, and Trump at +650. These odds have changed significantly, with Trump now at -188 and Harris at +175 after Biden’s withdrawal.
Donald Trump’s Odds of Winning the 2024 US Presidential Election
Trump’s odds have been influenced by several events, including a failed assassination attempt and his speech at the Republican National Convention. His odds were strengthened as he displayed the enthusiasm that has kept his supporters loyal, despite Biden’s lackluster performance, earning the nickname “Sleepy Joe.”
Trump’s recent brush with death might rally more voters to his side. His odds have fluctuated over the years, peaking when facing legal troubles and internal GOP challenges. However, Trump proved his influence by winning GOP primaries without participating in debates. His legal issues have been postponed until after the election, and despite being found guilty of 34 charges in his New York trial, his odds quickly bounced back, making him a strong contender.
